Economic impact at this early stage of the pandemic is pretty non-existent though? Italy is just having a very few people not paying for basic food at supermarkets in the Southern part of the country right now... that is where jobs are underpaid, hidden in the black market or just semi- daily- tricks to survive more or less legally, and the first to evaporate when there are no people in the street to fool. So the second stage of a pandemic is social discontent and revolts if people can’t eat... but we are not there yet? That’s why I really think all statistically surplus deaths right now all over the globe are just Covid deaths, but you will not have the exact number... only undertaker businesses may have a proper idea, maybe, if not just the Army in non-democratic countries.
I'm not sure if you looked at the papers I linked, but the deaths are not from starvation or violence. Examples would be much more mundane, like a skipped doctors visit which could have detected an early cancer.
You are right indeed, but Italian local press under the https://www.today.it/ local reporters umbrella (on top left, just click citynews for all the cities covered) is reporting some difficulties right now, not collateral deaths... aka the health system still works, apart of ICUs and ventilators... we are being subjected to a strong, patriotic rhetoric against Covid over here, but the only regional health system gone tits up is Lombardy right now... and even there, normal service for the chronically ill still goes on as usual, with some delay.
And deaths from covid in Lombardy are already in the tens of thousands, so it's not like a few collateral deaths are going to make a statistically significant difference
