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Yes, but the examples where it's good has a name "insurance". It exists, it's generally well regulated, and is not easily exploited.

The reason it works better is because in a prediction market, the person betting against you has no resources or ability to go after you for fraudulent behavior. Whereas an insurance company has both.



Nobody would insure this, and if they did, that policy would take months to be written, wouldn't cover the single probability of 1 event, etc...

So you are renaming something that doesn't and won't ever exist.


And you're trying to rename unregulated gambling as something that is good for society.

Exploiting people with gambling addiction is not a reasonable replacement for insurance.




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